Market Pulse: Bosnia's Meat Trade Deficit, UK's EU Lamb Mission, and US Cattle Futures Dip
Published about 1 month ago in News

Market Pulse: Bosnia's Meat Trade Deficit, UK's EU Lamb Mission, and US Cattle Futures Dip

Bosnia's import gap widens, the UK strengthens EU lamb ties, and US cattle markets cool.

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Bo Pedersen
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Bosnia and Herzegovina: Meat Imports Dwarf Exports, Creating a Significant Trade Deficit

What happened: Bosnia and Herzegovina is facing a substantial trade deficit in the meat sector, with imports far exceeding exports. In the first seven months of the year, the country imported over 381 million BAM (Bosnian Convertible Mark) worth of meat, while exporting only around 30 million BAM. This imbalance highlights the struggles of the domestic meat production industry to meet market demand.

Why it matters: The heavy reliance on meat imports not only negatively impacts the country's trade balance but also puts domestic farmers at a disadvantage. They are unable to compete with the larger quantities and lower prices of imported meat. The situation has led to the closure of many farms and a decline in domestic livestock production.

Implications & suggested actions:

  • For Bosnian producers: There is a need for a clear strategy to develop the agricultural and livestock sectors. Investment in modern technologies and adherence to EU standards could help regulate the domestic market and open doors for exports.

  • For regional exporters: Bosnia and Herzegovina presents a significant market for meat exports, particularly from the Netherlands, Italy, Poland, Belgium, and Serbia.

UK: Mission to Showcase British Lamb to EU Buyers

What happened: The UK's Agriculture and Horticulture Development Board (AHDB) hosted a trade mission for EU buyers to promote British lamb. Delegates from France, Germany, Portugal, and the Netherlands visited UK farms, processors, and retailers to see the standards of British lamb production firsthand.

Why it matters: The EU remains a critical market for British lamb, and this initiative aims to strengthen trade relationships. The value of UK red meat exports has been on the rise, increasing by nearly 10% in the first half of 2025 to £966 million.

Implications & suggested actions:

  • For UK exporters: Continued engagement with EU buyers is crucial to maintaining and growing market share. Highlighting the quality and provenance of British lamb can help command a premium.

  • For EU importers: British lamb offers a high-quality product with strong production standards. This trade mission may lead to increased availability and promotion of British lamb in EU markets.

US: Cattle Futures Experience a Downturn

What happened: Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) live cattle futures have seen a decrease, with analysts attributing the dip to softening beef prices and declining profit margins for beef packers. The end of the summer grilling season has led to a drop in wholesale beef prices.

Why it matters: The futures market is a key indicator of the health of the cattle industry. The current downturn, while potentially a seasonal correction, could impact producer profitability and influence future production decisions.

Implications & suggested actions:

  • For US producers: While tight cattle supplies offer some support, producers should monitor the futures market closely and consider risk management strategies.

  • For international buyers: The drop in US beef prices could present a buying opportunity, although the overall supply remains tight.


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